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Giving Away Money: 2026 SEC Football Win Totals

There is free money to be had here

by trlsports
April 22, 2026
in SPORTS WAGERING
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Giving Away Money: 2026 SEC Football Win Totals
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With Spring football practice underway — indeed, even winding down at some schools — Vegas has gotten their first look at the 2026 CFB season, and in the best American tradition, has decided to bet on it.

We are going to take a look at those schedules and future odds, and then tell you where some good value is to be had, as well as some stinkers and traps.

First up, here are the schedules and odds via Bet Ag:

  • Alabama 8.5 — ECU, at Kentucky, FSU, South Carolina, at Mississippi State, at Tennessee, at Vanderbilt, Chattanooga, Auburn, Georgia, Texas A&M, at LSU
  • Arkansas 4.5 — North Alabama, Tulsa, at Utah, Georgia, at Texas A&M, Tennessee, at Vanderbilt, at Auburn, South Carolina, Missouri, at Texas, LSU,
  • Auburn 6.5 — Baylor, USM, Florida, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Samford, at Tennessee, at Georgia, at Ole Miss, LSU, at Alabama
  • Florida 7.5 — at Auburn, Ole Miss, at Texas, Georgia, Oklahoma, FAU, Campbell, at Missouri, South Carolina, at Kentucky, Vanderbilt, at Florida State
  • Georgia 9.5 — Tennessee State, WKU, at Arkansas, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, at Alabama, Auburn, Florida, Missouri, at South Carolina, Georgia Tech, at Ole Miss
  • Kentucky 4.5 — Youngstown State, South Alabama, Vanderbilt, at South Carolina, Alabama, at Texas A&M, LSU, at Oklahoma, at Tennessee, Florida, at Missouri, Louisville
  • LSU -8.5 — at Ole Miss, Clemson, Louisiana Tech, Texas A&M, McNeese, at Kentucky, Mississippi State, at Auburn, Alabama, Texas, at Tennessee, at Arkansas
  • Mississippi State 4.5 — ULM, at Minnesota, Missouri, Vanderbilt, Tennessee Tech, at South Carolina, Alabama, at LSU, at Texas, Oklahoma, Auburn, at Ole Miss
  • Mizzou 6.5 — Pine Bluff, at Kansas, Troy, at Arkansas, Kentucky, at Mississippi State, Florida, Texas A&M, at Ole Miss, Texas, at Georgia, Oklahoma
  • Oklahoma 7.5 — UTEP, New Mexico, Kentucky, at Mississippi State, South Carolina, at Florida, Ole Miss, Texas A&M, at Missouri, at Michigan, at Georgia, Texas.
  • Ole Miss 7.5 — Louisville, Charlotte, LSU, at Florida, at Vanderbilt, Missouri, Auburn, Georgia, Wofford, Mississippi State, at Texas, at Oklahoma
  • Sakerlina 6.5 — Kent State, Towson, Mississippi State, Tennessee, at Arkansas, at Alabama, at Florida, at Oklahoma, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Georgia, at Clemson
  • Tennessee 7.5 — Texas, Alabama, at South Carolina, at Texas A&M, LSU, Furman, at Georgia Tech, Kennesaw State, Auburn, at Arkansas, at Kentucky, at Vanderbilt
  • Texas 9.5 — Texas State, UTSA, at Tennessee, Oklahoma, Florida, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, at Missouri, Arkansas, at Texas A&M, Ohio State, at LSU
  • Texas A&M 8.5 — Missouri State, Arizona State, Kentucky, Arkansas, at Missouri, Citadel, at Alabama, at South Carolina, Tennessee, at LSU, at Oklahoma, Texas
  • Vanderbilt 6.5 — Austin Peay, Delaware, NC State, Arkansas, at Auburn, at Georgia, Ole Miss, at Kentucky, at Mississippi State, Alabama, at Florida, Tennessee

    Worth a Few Bucks

  • Ole Miss UNDER 7.5 — Look, I’ve seen Pete Golding coach for four years with my own eyes. This is an entirely new coaching staff on both sides of the ball, with a Pete Golding defense, and a first time, first-year SEC head coach that lost a lot more on the roster than it gained. Is it so hard to see at least five losses vs: LSU, Louisville, at Texas, at Oklahoma, Mizzou, Georgia — and a few traps against Auburn and Vandy? Nope.
  • Mississippi State OVER 4.5 — the Bulldogs were within one score of winning eight games last year. For the third year, Lebby has focused on rebuilding the defense, and the offense was already dangerous as hell. The schedule has some toughies on it, but you can see the Bulldogs getting to .500 and making a bowl.Admiral Akbar Territory
    • Texas -9.5 — You wouldn’t think that it would be a trap for one of the most experienced and talented teams in the country to reach double digit wins. But the kiddie wheels are finally coming off the SEC schedule, and with road trips to the Hate Barn, Baton Rouge (at night, presumably), Tennessee, a sneaky one in CoMo, and hosting Ohio State and Florida, plus the annual Oklahoma grudge match, there is some losing to be had here. This could be the most talented 9–3 team in history, as Road Sark has been flaky for over a decade. People are going to hype up that trip to Baton Rouge. But the one to Knoxville is where Texas truly gets their introduction to how badly you can be screwed in the SEC. That is almost certainly a loss. Nah. Skip this one.
    • Vanderbilt -6.5 — People will make much of the Commodores losing Diego Pavia. And, for all of his deficits, he was a baller. But the ‘Dores are going to miss 13 of 15 offensive and defensive linemen even more…not to mention Eli Stower. They’re not going to completely fall off a cliff, but it is going to take a while to rebuild the lines, even as the passing game becomes more advanced. This could be a six-win team or wildly outplay their schedule and youth and be an eight-win team. Real wait-and-see ish here.

      Not With a Ten-foot Pole and a Stolen Wallet

      • Kentucky UNDER -4.5 — The coaching staff had moderned up. And with him, brings an influx of talent. But it is still a first-time, first-year head coach, in the SEC no less. Birmingham did the Cats no favors either, with eight of their nine SEC games being against bowl teams — three were the playoffs — and the 9th? It’s the Swamp. Maybe the nonconference schedule gets easier? Sure, if you consider a road trip to Clemson and Louisville easy. Growing pains does not even begin to describe what Kentucky will undergo this season. Three wins, maybe four.
      • Auburn UNDER 7.5 — first, take a look at that road schedule: Alabama, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Georgia. Now, look who’s coming to dinner: Florida, Vandy, LSU. Trap game? Yup — Mississippi State. Are you telling me that Auburn is going to lose no more than four against that? After losing half the team to the portal, and turning the Tigers into a glorified AAC squad? I’m sure they’ll play tougher, but that’s a tall order. This is a team closer to 5–7 than 8–4.

      Mortal Lock

      • Alabama OVER 8.5 — Yes, the schedule is somehow also tough this year, with biannual road trips to Neyland and Baton Rouge. The Tide also host Aggie and the DWAGS this year (how in the hell with an unbalanced schedule does Alabama play Georgia three years in a row?!) But two of the three most experienced teams in the country drop off the schedule this year (OU, Texas), and it is a slate of mostly Old SEC schools. Alabama can handle Old SEC, and Kalen DeBoer especially can. Riddle me this, Batman: when was the last time KDB won fewer than nine games? It doesn’t exist — it has literally never happened. And it won’t happen this year either, with what looks to be better lines, better coaching, a running game, and a healthy quarterback room. Ten wins has to be the baseline expectation, and honestly, there’s not a team on this schedule that Alabama cannot beat. I hope.All right, your turn: Best bet? Biggest stinker? Who’s going to flop this year and who’s going to wildly outperform their schedule?

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